After the expected path in Afghanistan became almost clear, the eye today remains on the US occupation in Iraq.
It is true that the history of the occupation of the Americans or their adventures outside their borders is full of shocks and unpleasant surprises for them, and that there is a long series of these similar shocks that they have been subjected to so far, and in more than one region around the world, but in fact, history did not mention any withdrawal similar to their withdrawal from Afghanistan In terms of their misery, weakness and shocking failure.
This failure first appeared in the humiliating wooing of the “Taliban” movement, after fighting and ending it was the main goal of their occupation, and today they are asking it to protect their withdrawal with their allies and dealers, and after they were for 20 years the occupiers ruling by their command, they appeared unable to appreciate the capabilities of this movement. The movement, despite their monitoring or “care” of it for 20 years, appeared to be far from a security and informational distance from the correct or close estimate of the timing of the advance of its units and its rapid and wide spread to hundreds of kilometers, and they seemed completely ignorant of the extent of the Afghan people’s sympathy with it, as it controlled the bulk of it lovingly. from regions and states.
Today, after the “Taliban” movement has taken control of the whole of Afghanistan, as it is preparing to bring out the form and method of its rule, and after most of the countries near or far, led by the NATO countries, have been convinced of the necessity of dialogue with them, to determine the level and nature of the relationship they will have with each of these It can be said that the era of the Americans in particular, and the West in general, in Afghanistan has ended, and that the next stage will be an opportunity for these invading countries and the allies (clients) of these Western powers to learn lessons.
These allies (agents) are afraid today, and whoever of them was able to get out in any way from Afghanistan, a journey of torment and oppression in foreign countries began with him, socially, financially, politically and living, and their hatred against the Americans will grow day after day, after they taste the bitterness of humiliation with which these failed invaders threw them Those who, in the blink of an eye, abandoned a long journey of financing, financial and military costs, efforts, fatigue and staying up late, and huge losses from dead and injured, so that the result was nothing, but the result was the complete opposite of their goals, the “Taliban” movement that they came To defeat it, it is today proving its feet in preparation for rule, and is no longer in a tense and cautious relationship with the surrounding countries as it was 20 years ago. Today, it is preparing to rule in light of a good relationship with the surrounding countries, especially the triangle of Washington’s strong opponents: China, Russia and Iran.
From here, and after the expected path in Afghanistan has become almost clear, the eye remains today on the American occupation in Iraq, and with the increase in external targeting, especially from Russia, China and Iran, and internally from most of the spectrum of Iraqi society, on this occupation and the need to end it, it is necessary to highlight the A somewhat detailed comparison between the American occupation of Afghanistan and the occupation of Iraq, in an attempt to deduce what might be the Americans’ decision about that, and the difficulties or obstacles that might impede this withdrawal (from Iraq).
In Afghanistan, it is true that the “Taliban” was the nucleus of those who fought the Soviets with US Gulf support, but it was (and may still be) one of the main supporters of the Uyghur Muslims in China, and it was also one of the opponents, at least sectarian, of Iran. With its control today over Afghanistan, it is likely that “Iran, which shares a border of about 936 kilometers with this country, will face a number of dilemmas exported to it across the Afghan border, which it has previously experienced during the years of the civil war in Afghanistan, and during the war on terrorism, and thus It is natural for it to find itself concerned with protecting its interests there, and confronting the old and new challenges that it faced and will face in light of the emerging conditions there, most notably the two issues of discrimination against the diverse ethnic minorities of Tehran’s allies, especially the “Hazara”, and the increase in drug trafficking, which is one of the strategic dangers threatening Tehran “.